Mint Quick Edit | India’s S&P upgrade: Better late than never

5 months ago 10
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Standard & Poor’s has upped its rating of India’s sovereign creditworthiness citing strong output growth and an improved public expenditure profile. (Bloomberg) Standard & Poor’s has upped its rating of India’s sovereign creditworthiness citing strong output growth and an improved public expenditure profile. (Bloomberg)

Summary

India’s sovereign credit rating has been raised by Standard & Poor’s just as we face trade headwinds. The reasoning is sound, even if it’s a belated nod to the Centre’s public debt control.

Even as India’s economy faces external uncertainty, we can relish a significant piece of good news. Standard & Poor’s has upped its rating of India’s sovereign creditworthiness to BBB from BBB-, citing strong output growth and an improved public expenditure profile.

Also Read: Does the US credit rating cut by Moody’s offer India an opportunity?

Though India could be slapped with tariffs of 50% by the US before month-end, the rating agency believes their effect will be “manageable" given the economy’s low reliance on trade, with 60% of its growth  stemming from domestic consumption. 

Also Read: Mint Quick Edit | America’s credit rating slip: How serious?

With the upgrade, India’s rating has moved one notch above the lowest investment grade, where it had been stuck for years. 

Indeed, India’s high growth stands out globally and, to the government’s credit, it has been reversing its covid-triggered fiscal expansion with long-term debt sustainability in mind. Also, the quality of public spending has improved, with an emphasis on infrastructure.

Also Read: When will global credit rating agencies get their assessments of India right?

Our nominal GDP growth can safely be expected to stay ahead of the rate of interest paid on public debt. So long as this lead holds, what’s owed won’t spiral out of control. Let’s hope this upgrade eases the Centre’s borrowing cost by making its bonds more attractive to investors. 

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